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MLB: Texas at Baltimore - Rangers (Wasdin/Lopez) -107 Game Date: 7/16/2006 Note:I have flipped back and forth on this series in the first 2 games winning with Texas on Friday, Baltimore yesterday and now playing the Rangers again today. The Orioles had the decided advantage Saturday with the hottest pitcher in the Major League's taking the hill. That is not the case today and Baltimore will more than likely go back to being a team that is clearly out of the race for the playoffs and one that has had great difficulty putting 2 good games back to back. Last night's win gave the O's only the 15th win in 43 tries verses teams with a winning record. Texas has been a good bounceback team this year and they have also actually played as well on the road as at home. Orioles starter Lopez has been very iffy with poor numbers all around and not much recent success as well. Despite last nights game, Texas is stroking the ball well as of late batting near 300 last 10 and plating right at 6 runs per contest. They are also getting work from their pitching staff allowing right at 3 runs per 9 innings last 10 and a lot of that has been their bullpen which is finally performing up to expectations. We will see a much more motivated Ranger squad today and a good situation for a team that is right in the thick of the playoff hunt. (Loss)
MLB: Hou at Chi - WhiteSox -1.5 (Pettitte/Contreras) +105 Game Date: 6/23/2006 Note:I don't play many runlines but I did with the DevilRays yesterday and I will do it again for this contest tonight. It takes at least 2 things to create a nice runline opportunity and we have many for this game. We have a super pitcher on the mound with Contreras who has nothing less than phenomimal this year at 7-0 and 4-0 at home. We have an Astro team who is one of the worst travling teams in the Major League's despite having an overall decent record. We have a WhiteSox team that has beat all comers to Chicago by 1.9 runs and beat all lefties by 1.8 runs. And here is the clincher. We have a strong wind out to the fences and a much more superior hitting team with the Sox who score about 6 per contest, hit many more longballs than Houston, and have been on a hitting tear of late. The posted total of 9 might fall very quickly and I will offer an opinion on that happening as well, what appears to be a pretty good pitching matchup. Pettitte throwing much better of late but he is on the tracks tonight and Snidely Whiplash is watching the train coming....Where is Bullwinkle when you need him? Winner
MLB: Colorado at San Fran- Over 7.5 (Francis/Schmidt) -110 Game Date: 5/26/2006 Note:The ball has been flying out of the park in the Golden Gate City this year with all home games averaging right at 11 runs per game. I don't expect that to change today with a huge wind gusting to 25mph heading toward the fences. Certainly we have 2 really good pitchers and a low line for this one because of that but we also have 2 very good hitting teams and a Colorado Bullpen that is non-existant. Both teams on losing streaks coming into this game and both motivated and licking their chops with the weather conditions as they are and both 13-8 following a loss. We should see much more hitting tonight than what might be expected and this one goes OVER Winner
NBA: Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat - Over 187 -110 Game Date: 4/6/2006 Note:I am playing a Piston game OVER? Have I lost my freaking brain? I don't think so. Pistons have topped the century mark last 4 games and they are not playing the kind of D they have been known to play recently as the playoffs approach fast. Make no mistake, when the playoffs do begin, they will be more focused and we will see the Ole Piston-Like games begin. But they are simply having fun right now, staying out of injury problems and playing games that average 200+ last 5. All games at Miami have been shootouts and have produced 199 on average with the Heat netting almost 104 ppg. In the only other game played between these two in Miami, we saw 198. Regardless of the outcome of this game, it will not change anything in the final standings of the eastern division with the Heat firmly in the #2 spot ahead of the Net, and there is no doubt that neither team will want to show the other, anything that they might could expect in the Playoffs. The Pistons will be more motivated tonight as they attempt to stay ahead of the Spurs for overall home court advantage and I do lean toward Detroit for that reason. (Loss)
NCAAB: George Mason at Wichita State - George Mason -2 Game Date: 3/24/2006 Note: Sometimes we can learn something from a previous matchup between two teams and I did when these two met back on February 18th. I have watched those films and it is obvious to me that the Patriots have much more quickness in their backcourt. The Patriots held the lead throughout the game on Wichita's homecourt and had a 10 point lead with about 4 minutes to play and won a close one in the end as the Shockers made a failed comeback at the end. George Mason is undersized to Wichita but can certainly hold their own on the boards. They also possess one of the best D's in the country allowing all comers a meager 38.6% shooting. Mason Head Coach Jim Larrannaga is a master at throwing complex defenses your way, and I am sure with time to prepare he will have some tricks up his sleeves tonight. George Mason might be considered Cinderella but this team is fundamentally sound, well balanced, and very well coached. This game also happens to be about 40 miles from the Patriots campus, and we can for sure get ready to experience a very partison George Mason crowd tonight..... Winner
NBA: Minnesota Timberwolves at Chicago Bulls - Over 188.5 Game Date: 2/28/2006 Note:Garnett has been cleared to play it's on tonight in Chicago. This may be the first time ever that I have played 2 Minnesota games OVER back to back but I think we have got a good one here. The Wolves D has left and gone fishin and they have promptly allowed 101 ppg last 10 played. Most of those games have been at home and they must now play on the road where they do not play as good D as at home. This all began back on 2/3 when Troy Hudson got hurt. Without him, the Wolves are just not able to manage the perimiter. It is amazing sometimes what one player can mean to a club, but Hudson does to the Minnesota D, and until he can come back from his ankle injury, the Wolves are going to be in deep shit. Minnesota certainly recognizes their problems and have scored an average of 8 more per contest during this period. The Bulls can score and they are just average on D so I fully expect to see a free-for-all OVER Bonanza tonight in the Windy City.. Winner
NCAAB: Montana at Eastern Wash - Eastern Washington +1 Game Date: 2/23/2006 Note: The Eagles will try to get that Montana Monkey of their back tonight as they hope to stop a 4 game losing streak to the Grizzlies. I think they will. Eastern Washington may be one of the least understood teams in the country with a very slow start and only a 12-13 record. But let's look at their murderous early season Schedule shall we? Marquette, USC, Southern Illinois, Washington, Gonzaga, BYU, San Diego. All losses, and that does not surprise me, does it you? They are back to playing more familiar and less adepth teams now and have promptly won their last 7 of 10. They also possess a strong home mark of 8-1 outscoring all opponents by 9 per game. Interestingly as well, despite their overall record, they have been better than average coverers this year at 15-8. One might look at the offensive and defensive numbers between these two teams and see that the Grizzlies have the edge in every one. But with Eastern Washington's early season Tough Schedule Gang Bang those numbers are skewed way beyond recognition. The fact is EWash is a better home team than Montana is a road team and the numbers show that for sure. Better shooting, Better D, Better rebounding. Montana has outright losses last 2 road games at Idaho State and Weber, and both on spots of -5.5 and -6.5. Idaho State beat them by 25!! In my opinion, the Eagles soar tonight.. (Loss)
NCAAB: Providence at Cincinnati - Under 152.5 -110 Game Date: 2/17/2006 Note:I suspect that the Cincy Bearcats will win tonight but I will pass on the game and play what I feel is a pretty good total for us. This super high 152.5 betting line is based on one thing. Both teams average about 75 per game and Cincy over 79 on their home court. But let's look at this closer. The Bearcats home court numbers have not been what they might appear and expecially if you take out the 105 performances against North Carolina A&T and Tenn Tech. Eliminate those easier than pie games and Cincy's average ppg goes way down to just 71 scored per contest. The one thing that has been consistant about their play is great defense. Cincy is one of the best D teams in the NCAA and have been dominent from that aspect at home where they are allowing 67 per game and only 39% shooting. Consider this. Out of 12 lined games this year, only 2 have gone over this posted total and one of those was the massacre of Tenn Tech. The Friars point production has been down when they travel with 69 per game scored and they not faired so well against the better D's. scoring only 61 at Depaul, 62 verses UConn, 48 At West Virginia. Only 64 per game has been scored in the last 3 at Cincy and barring a scoring explosion tonight by the Bearcats, this one goes UNDER... Winner
NCAAB: Oklahoma at Colorado- Colorado Pick -110 Game Date: 2/15/2006 Note:This is an interesting game in a lot of respects. The Oklahoma Sooners have been one of the class acts of the Big 12 for many years yet they have not faired too well at Colorado, covering just once in 5 tries. This year is going to be even tougher with the Buffs having their best team in many years. Colorado has lost just one this year in Boulder. The Buffalos have been downright dominating overall winning by an average of 21 points per game there and averaging over 85 per contest. They are also easily in the top 15% defensively when playing on their home court allowing just 39% shooting. Much has been said about the altitude problems visiting teams face when they travel to Boulder, Denver and other similar venues but it is worth mentioning and it does make a difference. The most interesting thing about this game tonight is the style of play we can expect. As good as Oklahoma plays D, they do not verses the Buffalos at Boulder and have allowed 84 ppg last 3 visits. That certainly plays into Colorado's hands and I think it will tonight. This is a huge game for Colorado in Big 12 Standings and tonight I think we see a Buffalo Stampede.... Winner
NCAAB: Texas Longhorns at Missouri Tigers - Mizzu +12 -110 Game Date: 2/1/2006 Note: The Tigers are Giant Killers at Columbia and here comes Goliath. Mizzu already has wins this year at Columbia over Oklahoma, a team that just beat Texas, and Kansas. They also played another competitive game verses a good Colorado team losing by just 3 on their home court. As good as Texas is, they are just 1-2 ATS in Big 12 road games and we just feel they are getting way too much respect tonight playing at one of the toughest arenas in college basketball. This line is as high as it is for 2 reasons. Texas lost their last game at Oklahoma and many will be playing the Longhorns because of that. Already early betting shows 72% of the money on Texas and that should continue today. The other factor is the fact that Mizzu has lost their last 3 contests including a drubbing by Iowa State on their home court. A closer look at those games finds that the Tigers have shot a horrible 27% in those 3 losses and that is very un-Mizzu-like. Overall this year the Tigers have been a very good shooting team and averages tend to come back to the medium during the course of the season. You can bet that the home guys will be ready to play their kind of ball tonight and you can also believe that the home crowd will spur them on. (Loss)
NCAAB: Butler at Cleveland State -Cleveland State +4.5 Game Date:1/25/2006 Note:This Butler team is not the Bulldogs of old and they have struggled all year to get back to form. The have specifically had problems winning away from home and have dropped their last 3 conference road games and 2 of those were to supposedly inferior teams. We have stated this many times and we will say again that you have to play good D to be able to win on the road. That is not what the Bulldogs are doing with the opposition connecting on over 47% of their shots. Butler's problems are actually more widespread than that with very poor rebounding skills. Earlier this year, the Indiana Hoosiers totally dominated the boards verses Butler by the tune of 34-13. How does one get only 13 rebounds in a game? The most recent 4 games outrebound margins have been 20-37, 22-30, 21-36, and 20-23. Going up against one of the strongest rebounding teams in the conference will spell DOOM for them tonight. The Vikings are crashing the boards and have averaged over 38 their last 5 games and the primary reason why they have 4 of those 5 games including wins verses Illinois Chicago, and at WiscGB and Youngstown. Cleveland State has been and should get many second opps tonight to put the ball in the hoop and they should walk away tonight with another win. Winner
NBA: Memphis Grizzlies at Miami Heat - Under 184 -110 Game Date: 1/24/2006 Note:This line opened at 186.5 and has meandered quickly down to it's present level. I am not sure why Vegas pulled that out of their hat and the thought process here is that they have blown the line. Memphis is an UNDER playing machine and the last 6 of 7 have gone under the mark with the exception of a 176 output verses the Spurs on a very low 170 line. These 2 teams have met just once this basketball year and in that game we saw 175 points scored making it the 5th consecutive time these two teams have played under the total. One very consistent thing about the Grizzlies is that they don't score a lot of points, just 90 per game, whether on the road or at home. That figure is even lower over the last 7 contests with just 83.5 ppg and that includes one overtime game. We suspect this line will continue to fall especially with the fact that Miami will be somewhat handicapped benchwise tonight at the guard position with both Fitch and Mourning either out or limited... Winner
NFL: Carolina Panthers at Seattle -Seahawks -3 -120 Game Date:1/22/2006 Note:There are a lot of reasons to play either team today but we like Seattle for one big reason. They have simply been dominent at home winning each game by a margin of 16 points per contest. Seattle is a perfect 9-0 playing at home this year covering 7 of those contests and 22-6 since the beginning of the 2003 season. Augueably, it is the loudest stadium in the NFL and that makes for tough times for visiting teams. Changing plays at the line of scrimmage is going to be a task for Delhomme and considering the pressure that the Seahawks put on the QB, we expect some problems in key plays for the Panthers. Delhomme has played as about as good as he can this year but he thrown 17 into the hands of the opposition. The Seahawks are the best in the NFL at sacking the quarterback and have nabbed the pass thrower 50 times this year. Of major concern for the Panthers is the status of the running game, as running back DeShaun Foster (205 rushing yards) will miss the rest of the year with a broken ankle suffered in last week's win. Foster is the second Carolina starting back to be lost for the year, after Stephen Davis went down during the regular season with a knee injury. Seattle, which was fifth in the NFL against the run (94.4 yards per game) during the regular campaign, comes off a week in which it held the Redskins running game to just 59 ground yards on 25 carries. If Panther defensive end Julius Peppers, who was knocked out of last week's win with a shoulder injury and is considered questionable for Sunday, is unable to go, Carolina will be without their #1 pass rusher. We suspect he might go, but will not be 100%. Peppers' possible absence will put a great deal of pressure on the Carolina secondary and we think too much. Give Hasselbeck time, and he will burn you. Mike Holmgren is 4-1 verses the Panthers and we think that Seattle has a huge motivational edge today with their first opportunity to go to the big dance and a coach that can show them the way because he has been there, done that. The Seahawks have the advantage with the home field, they have a more sound running game, they have the motivation, they have the better QB, they have the better RedZone offense, they have the win and cover... Winner
NCAAB: Northeastern at Geo Mason - George Mason -10.5 Game Date: 1/19/2006 Note: George Mason is a strong defensive team and the high flying Huskies are not going to have as much success tonight as they have this year with their 76 ppg output. Already this year GM was a winner on their home court and limited them to 68 points in a 3 point win. Northeastern plays horrible D on the road and has allowed 84 per contest, and we expect the Patriots to have much success in that department tonight. We suspect a 20 point or greater win tonight by a team that has beaten a much better VCU and Holy Cross teams by more than this posted line. The Patriots have won their last 7 of 8 with only a 2 point loss at Miss State and we see them as a much more superior squad tonight... Winner
NCAAB: Kansas at Colorado Buffaloes - Kansas +4.5 -110 Game Date: 1/11/2006 Note:People in the backwoods of Mississippi would call this one a real humdinger. Colorado has been perfect at home this year with a 6-0 mark and wins that include a 16 point effort over Irvine and a 19 point win over NC Wilmington. The Buffaloes also won large at TCU, and neutral site victories over Utah and St Mary's. The Buffs have all starters returning for this canpaign and 7 key players in all. It is a totally different story for the Jayhawks who lost heavily to graduation and return just one player from the 2004/2005 squad. That certainy showed early in the year as Kansas opened with an un-Kansas-like 3-4 record. But boy have they turned it on with 6 straight wins including a 13 point one verses Cal and a blowout of the Kentucky Wildcats. These young kids have matured and now possess the #1 Shooting Defense in the country, allowing less than 35% to go through the net. That figure drops to just 32% the last 5 played, and an average margin of victory topping 25 points. We do not expect that kind of win tonight, but we do expect the Jayhawks to win this game over the Buffaloes, a team they have beaten 5 straight times. Winner
NCAAB: NC State Wolfpack at Bost College - NC State +4.5 Game Date: 1/10/2006 Note:BC appears to having some difficulty in the ACC this year and are off to an 0-2 mark losing to Georgia Tech and Maryland. They must now play the Best D in the ACC and we don't think they will have success. Last year's contest resulted in 66-65 OT win for them in Boston and we expect pretty much the same thing tonight. Low scoring, and close. The Wolfpack do not allow for many wide open shots, as evidenced by their overall 37.5 shooting D and 30% 3 point shooting D. BC has played only 4 games this year against quality teams if you include the Yellow Jackets in that category and are 1-3 in those with losses to Michigan State, Maryland, GT, and a win verses Oklahoma State, so their overall 11-3 mark does not impress us. NC State has had the much tougher schedule and have lost just 2 at NC and at Iowa, in a game in which they covered. Wolfpack bounce back tonight with a cover and probably an outright win...Winner
NBA: Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies - Over 172.5 -110 Game Date: 1/6/2006 Note:We had the OVER the last time these 2 played and we will do it again. On a 168 total back on 12/26 these two teams scored 190 in regulation and 207 for the game, as the Jazz beat the Grizzlies. Both teams have found an offense and are averaging almost 16 points more collectively over their last 5 games. The Grizzlies D are allowing 12.3 more points per game last 5 than for the regular season average. With the Jazz winning their last 5 and Memphis their last 4, we don't see either coach trying anything different tonight and we should see more shots than average and less half court play. Despite the fact that this total is 5 points higher than the last time they met, we like it...(Loss)
NFL: San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs - Under 49 Game Date: 12/24/2005 Note:This game has the possibility of becoming a classic with two really good teams and both needing a win. The Chargers have the Chiefs and the Broncos left on their schedule and need to win both games. The Chiefs must win their final two as well with SD and Cincy and hope for help along the way. The weather is going to be a factor today but that is not the only reason why we like this game. Conditions will not be conducive to throwing the ball today with rain and light snow, and winds gusting to to 25 mph. A wet surface is not going to be good for an already banged up Tomlinson of the Chargers and certainly not for the Chiefs, who must face the #1 run defense in the National Football League. This is basically a playoff game in all respects and Marty Schottenheimer has always played these games not to lose. With the weather conditions as they are, we expect him to have this approach even more today. The fact is, even though San Diego is though of as a high powered offense, the last 8 of 10 played have gone UNDER the total. The previous meeting between these two in perfect conditions resulted in 48 points. Away/Home stats for both D's are 18.7/21.8 points per game. We will see a more conservative approach by both teams today and this high NFL Total will have a good chance of closing UNDER the 49. The vast majority of bettors will be on the over but let's do the smart thing... Winner
NFL: New York Giants at Washington Redskins - Redskins -3 Game Date: 12/24/2005 Note:I am not a believer that teams that have to win do more often just because they need to. That is not why I am making this selection. This is one of the oldest and most bitter rivalries in the National Football League and I am sure that the Redskins had this one marked on their after they humiliating 36-0 loss to the Giants earlier this year. Both teams are playing well, but the strong edge has to go to the Redskins, who are 5-2 at Home, while 3 of the 4 Giant losses have come on the road. The Giants have the 6th best offense in the league but their numbers are far better at home than when they travel. Washington is #7 defensively in the league and downright nasty at home, allowing just Under 14 ppg. Manning is prone to turnovers and already has 16 interceptions. Travelling to one of the loudest parks in the NFL will be a growing experience for him. A very costly one for the Giants. Washington is just the better team in this situation whether they NEED to win or not. Revenge will be sweet for the home boys... Winner
NBA: Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers - Pacers +5 Game Date: 12/23/2005 Note:The Pacers have the second best D in the NBA this year and they also happen to be one of the best covering teams as well. There is a correllation there as the Top 4 D teams in the league are all in the top 8 covering teams. Defense wins NBA games and it also covers them. Despite the fact that Indiana will once again be without Ron Artist tonight, it seems not to affect them as they have won and covered their last 3 easily without him and 5 of 6 including a whomping of the Clippers on Wednesday 97-75. The Pacers have already beaten the Cavs once this year back at home by 22 points and have won and covered the last 4 of 5 meetings. With the Cavs playing last night and 1-3 ATS on ZERO days rest, this will be a tough task for them. Push
NCAAB: Troy State Trojans at Xavier Musketeers -Under 139 Game Date: 12/22/2005 Note:The X Men play great defensive skills and are allowing just 59 points per game. Troy has yet to play anyone of this caliber and we do not see them getting out of the 50's to low 60's tonight. If Xavier score 80+ this one might go Over but we doubt that also as they have only achieved that twice verses Coppin State (81) and Eastern Illinois (80). Incidentally, they held those two teams to 56 and 35! In the only meeting ever between these two teams the Trojans were held to just 59 a couple of years ago. Xavier is loaded and they do not give you open shots, as evidenced by at 61 D effort at Creighton and 65 at Illinois. Winner
NCAAB: TennMartin at Morehead State- Tenn Martin -5 Game Date: 12/19/2005 Note:What a difference a year makes. This time last year we were playing against the Skyhawks every game they played and winning them all. In fact we won both games they played with Morehead State as the Eagles won by 6 and 8 points to cover both games. Things are a bit different this year with Tenn Martin clearly the better team. Morehead returns just 2 players from last year's squad and really only have 2 players that could be considered worth having around. Morehead is getting crushed this year, losing by an average of 27 ppg and that should continue tonight. One of things that we look at this every year at this time is road favs that are clearly better playing at venues that are at Christmas Break in smaller markets. There is no home court advantage tonight and the Skyhawks ARE clearly the better team. They have 7 key players and they rotate 9 in and out. Too much tonight for the Eagles and their awful season will continue... Winner
NHL: Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild - Stars -120 Game Date: 12/19/2005 Note:The Stars are the class of the NHL right now and have won 7 of their last 8 and 4 of 5 of those have been on the road. In fact they are 11-3 overall traveling this year and that is better than their home record. One might look at this game tonight and see that Dallas played last night and might be somewhat weary. However, apparently it is not a factor as the Stars are a perfect 6-0 this year on ZERO days rest. The Stars are loaded and have quality players on the ice at all times. It is not going to be often this year to get this kind of line when the Stars play and we have to play it. We can probably expect a low scoring defensive struggle with both teams near the top of the NHL in D and both teams with outstanding goalie play. The key, and the difference between these two lies on the ice and not the goal where the Stars have allowed just 26 shots on goal to Minnesota's 32. More shots usually equals more goals and the Stars are doing just that averaging .7 more per game this year and in the last 5 played. (Loss)
NFL: Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders - Raiders -3 -110 Game Date: 12/18/2005 Note: Kerry Collins returns at QB this week for the Raiders. Nothing ticks off and motivates a veteran player like a good benching. We think that will be the scenerio today for Collins and the Raiders and we think they should be able to handle the 4-9 Browns in this situation. The Browns will travel with a Rookie QB and already just have one road win, a close one at Green Bay. They have not been the picture of success this year and even though they have been competitive lately, we think that works in our favor with what we consider a low spot of just -3. They gained some respect with a 3 point loss at Cincy but that is a totally different story. The Browns always play arch rival Bengals well but they don't travel well to the west coast at 1-4 ATS last 5. Raiders have the 29th best rushing offense but the Browns are 27th stopping the run, and we see that as a key. If Collins can get some pressure off him, he has the tools and the recievers to make this a miserable day for Cleveland. This game means nothing for either team but Collins is fighting for his job for next year and despite his poor year, again, the players like him. More motivation here for the home guys. (Loss)
NFL: Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants -Under 48 -110 Game Date:12/17/2005 Note:Much is being said about this potential shootout in New York today and the total number has climbed from an opening number of 45.5 to it present 48. But the fact is, despite all the hoopla of Manning, the Chiefs offense, and lack of D, the UNDER is 5-2 this year at Giant Stadium. The Chiefs can be a scoring machine, bur their numbers away from Arrowhead are not that impressive, scoring just 22 per game against all competition. Meanwhile, the Giants have played great D at home allowing just under 16 per contest. In the last four at New York, Giants D has given up just 12.75 per game. They are not as healthy as they have been, but this is a very large number to cover, and they still have enough horses to control a KC attack. UNDER could have easily been 7-0 at home for the GMen as one went over by just a half point in one game and a late 61 yard TD pass by Manning in the Philly game ecplipsed that total. The weather is going to be brisk for this late evening game and that should also have an impact on the scoring. Yes, the latest numbers show an OVER and bettors are stacking up to play it, but we are not. Winner
NBA:Chicago Bulls at Detroit Pistons -Under 195.5 -110 Game Date:12/16/2005 Note:All games at Detroit this year have gone OVER! It is 7-0 in fact and you can't get any better than that. The Pistons have been unstoppable, scoring 112 per contest and their D has been Un-Piston-like allowing almost 97. Quick addition and that is 209 per game on average. It is no reason why Vegas has set this line as high as they have. We have seen Piston Totals climb from the mid to high 180's to it's present level over the course of the season and it is time to take advantage and jump UNDER on this one. The real story in this game is the history between these two clubs. They really do not like one another and they always play hard-nosed games. Simple as that. Earlier this year the Pistons handed the Bulls one of their worst losses of the season 92-79 back in Chicago. That game was indicative of the style of play these two put forth when they meet. The last 5 games between these two have resulted in exactly an average of 87 points scored by each. Let's add again. 87 + 87 = 174. We can go back even further and if we do we can find that the last 9 Bull/Piston games have all fell well below the 195 mark. Certain situations call for certain actions and we are acting on this UNDER. Detroit has invited 7 teams to the Motown this year, Kings, Knicks, Wizards, Nuggets, Celtics, Raptors, and Sixers. All love to run and gun. We will not see that tonight from the Bulls, and this huge total line will have a good liklihood of going UNDER the total. Winner
NBA: Los Angeles Clippers at NO Hornets - Over 184 Game Date: 12/14/2005 Note:The Clippers do not play good D when they are tired, and you can believe they are weary following last night's overtime loss to the World Champion Spurs. San Antonio makes you work and they certainly did make the Clips work hard, allowing them just 84 points in regulation play. Here are 2 things to consider. On ZERO days rest, the Clippers have gone OVER at 4-0 this year and have allowed 103 per contest defensively. Two of those 4 games,have been against Minnesota and Detroit, arguably the best 2 D's in the NBA, and all 4 have averaged 206 per contest. Two times this year, LA has been limited to under 90 points, and they have promptly scored 101 and 102 in the games following. Based on this info, we see NO/OklaCity scoring tonight and the Clips hanging right there with them. Winner
NBA: Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks - Under 204.5 Game Date: 12/14/2005 Note:The lowest output by these 2 teams in the last 10 contests is 208. The second lowest total is 214! Is this a crazy pick or what? We do not think so. In the only game played between these two this year, only 180 was scored during regulation play as the Mavs won an overtime game. Let's forget about last year and beyond, and focus on what is happening now. The Suns have found a defense and are only allowing 91 per game last 9 played. During that stretch only 2 teams hit the century mark verses Phoenix, the Warriors 110, and the Celtics 101. With Barbosa and Stackhouse still out, the Suns have had to find another way of playing and the run all game long philosophy is out the window. Interestingly, the Suns are still one of the best shooting teams in the League, but they are taking fewer shots, and scoring less, just 103 per contest. It is funny to say, just 103, but that is a far cry from last year's production. Based on the most recent play by the Mavs/Suns, we see low 190's as the final here...Prior to the 109 effort by the Lakers, the Mavs had held all opponents to an average of 87 per game last 6. Winner
NFL: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - Bills +4 -110 Game Date: 12/11/2005 Note: It has been a hard luck year for the Bills this year and especially lately losing a 1 point decision to the Dolphins last week after having a large lead throughout. The previous week a 13-9 loss to Carolina. The Miami loss gave Buffalo an 0-6 road record and that has been their biggest problem. At home they have been very competitive posting a 4-2 mark with their only two losses being 4 to Carolina and 8 to Atlanta. While the overall numbers for Buffalo have not been good, they are playing very good D at home and have allowed just 13 per contest. The banged up Patriots are lethargic at best beating the Jets last week 16-3 in what was not an impressive effort by the offensive team. Pats are not capitalizing in the redzone this year and have managed just over 18 points per game their last 3. New England squeeked by the Bills earlier this year 21-16 at Foxboro and we think they will be lucky to do the same this time around. 4 Points is a ton in this game and especially with cold temperatures looming in Buffalo. Pats are being outscored by almost 3 points on the road and we do not think they have any business laying points here. (Loss)
NCAAB: Georgia Bulldogs at Georgia State - Georgia -8.5 Game Date: 12/10/2005 Note: This betting line is going to fly off the books so get it now. The Panthers have beaten the Bulldogs in thier only 2 games these two have met but this year will be a different story. Georgia is just way too loaded and we have them winning this one by 18 points. Georgia is one of the better teams in the country, Georgia State has looked very bad last 2 verses G Mason and Kentucky. In those 2 losses the Panthers managed on 46 and 51 points and lost by a combined score of 154-97. Bulldogs have just way too much here...Winner
NCAAB: Eastern Kentucky vs Murray State Murray State -9.5 Game Date: 12/8/2005 Note: Murray State has always a very tough place to travel to, and tonight they play their second game of the year at home. The Colonels have been shooting well this year but their defense has not been good at all allowing all comers 49% from the floor and almost 44% from 3 point land! In their only road game this year EKy was outscored 92-58 at Tennessee. The fact is, teams with poor D's don't travel well. Colonels have allowed 84 per contest and if they do that tonight, they will not cover. We think Murray gets at least the average..Winner
NCAAF:Mississippi Rebels at Memphis Tigers - Under 48 Game Date:9/5/2005 Note:We really like this game. The Rebel D this year is going to carry them throughout the season. Up front, they are as strong as they have ever been. We suspect that D'Angelo is going to have a tough time spotting any openings and making those big plays he is famous for. You can expect Ole Miss to bottle up the interior and if Memphis is going to win this game, if will have to be through the air with an inexperienced QB. Look for a lot of running by both squads and the clock will will ticking like you have never seen before. The Rebels start Michael Spurlock at QB and you can believe that new head coach Orgeron will play a conservative style of play utilizing 240 pound running back Jamal Pittman. The Rebels lost an experienced offensive line, maybe the best they have ever had, but hopes are high with the replacements. Highly recruited Micheal Other should make an impact in the interior. This game generally is tight and generally is low scoring. Vegas missed this one we think with the total probably falling in the mid to high 30's.....Winner
NCAAF:Navy at Maryland Terraphins - Maryland -11.5 Game Date:9/2/2005 Note:So, what gives on this play? The Midshipmen just completed one of their best seasons ever capped off by an impressive win over New Mexico in the Emerald Bowl. Meanwhile, Maryland slipped in 2004 suffering its first losing record (5-6) in the four-year tenure of head coach Ralph Friedgen. Friedgen admitted he'd become too detached from the day-to-day operations of the Terps program. He vowed to reconnect with the players, work more closely with the coaching staff and re-install the hunger in a program he believes grew complacent. We believe that the Terps have something to prove this week and we also believe they have an opponent they can do it with. Navy lost 36 lettermen, including 16 starters and 9 off the offensive side of the ball This year's senior class is extremely small since it was recruited during the coaching transition from Charlie Weatherbie to Johnson. The Midshipmen will have first-time starters all over the field, although none will be scrutinized more closely than quarterback Lamar Owens. He has looked ok during preseason practices but even Navy spokesmen say they have no idea how he will do in a game situation. We think that we do know. Maryland may or may not light up the scoreboard, but they should win this game going away with solid defense and early season mistakes from a very young Navy team....(Loss)
MLB:Washington Nationals at Texas Rangers -Rangers -1.5 (Patterson/Rogers) +137 Game Date:6/17/2005 Note:The Washington Nationals are for real? Maybe, but our opinion is that they are possibly overachieving this year. Tonight they travel to Arlington Texas and we feel they will at least come back down to earth for one game. The Nationals have been the benificiary of very sound starting pitching and certainly Patterson has been one of their biggest happy surprises. Tonight might be a different story with the hard hitting Rangers on the agenda. Texas hits righty's at a .279 clip and .284 at home. Texas also happens to be the second best ATS covering team in MLB the last 10 years. The fact is, playing at Texas is not easy anytime, but especially if you are not accustomed to it. Kenny Rogers is having a remarkable year with a 2.02 ERA and a whip of just 1.13. Current streaks of the Rangers include 10-1 last 11 at home and 8-1 last 9 Rogers starts. Let's be a gambler with Kenny and play the runline on this one....Winner
NBA:San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons -Pistons -4 -110 Game Date:6/14/2005 Note:What is it like play at the Palace in Detroit?? You could ask the Indiana Pacers that question. Flying beer, name calling, bomb threats, and that is just from the women in the stands. Bowen has done a great job handling Hamilton so far in the series and we see that as the key so far. Bowen did the same against the Sonics at home but was constantly in foul trouble on the road and Ray Allen had field days. Playing on the road in the NBA does not allow you to play with quite the same intensity because touch fouls come into play more often. We look for Hamilton to get some Home Cooking tonight and if he does, this one is a winner for the Pistons. Larry Brown is a master at making the proper adjustments and has also already said that playing at home will give his team the extra energy and confidence they need. Tonight's game is going to be the most physical by far as Detroit tries to take the Spurs out of their comfort zone. Detroit is 39-11 at home and the Spurs are just 25-24 playing on the road this year. The Bad Boys from Detroit have their backs to the wall and between them reacting nicely to that, and the women and children throwing beer and popcorn, this one should be an easy win and cover. We will also being playing Detroit -1 for the first quarter as the Pistons take it to San Antonio early and often.....Winner
NBA:Detroit Pistons at San Antonio Spurs -Over 170.5 -110 | Game Date: 6/12/2005 Note:Talk about line value!! This total is significantly lower than the opening 181 in the first game of the series. We saw that line drop to 176 but the UNDER we played won nevertheless. We expect tonight to be somewhat different. The Pistons cannot rely just on the scoring of Hamilton and they know they must force feed Rashad Wallace the ball down low. Word out of the Piston camp is that they want to and expect to make a lot of shots in the paint tonight. This will provide us with 2 things. 1)More Points by the bunch from Motown. 2)More foul shots by the bunch from Motown. We certainly do not expect the Spurs to lay down tonight. They can score when they need to and averaged 108 against the Suns in the previous series. During the 8 day layoff Spur head coach Gregg(Nice Name) Popovich installed tons of new offensive angles designed to frustrate and confuse the Pistons. They introduced some of those in the second half of the opening game. Gregg(Nice Name but he really should drop the second G) is one heck of a halftime coach and we should see some additional wrinkles tonight in the late going. That is one reason we are also playing OVER 43 in the fourth quarter of tonight's game. Additional Note: The Pistons are undefeated in Post Season when he accomplishes 20 or more points. Hmmm.....I wonder if Brown knows that? We have a call into his hotel room just in case he does not....Winner
MLB:Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics -Under 9 (Arroyo/Saarloos) -120 Game Date:5/16/2005 Note:The Athletics are not an offensive powerhouse. One of the few impact hitters in the Oakland lineup, Chavez, is now 5 of his last 37 from the plate. We think this total is a bit overinflated due to the A's going over the total for 4 consecutive games. But they were playing the red hot hitting Yankees and some of the runs the A's managed to get were here's a gift, we are blowing your ass out runs. Oakland is batting just .236 this year. We know that Arroyo is a quality pitcher and off to a great start this year, allowing 2 or less runs in 5 of 7 games started. Saarloos has pitched well of late too and in fact gave up just 4 hits at Fenway on May 10th. The Hotdog Stand is going to be busy tonight, because this game is going to be boring!!!! And Under 9 runs.....Winner
NBA: San Antonio Spurs at Seattle SuperSonics -Over 186 Game Date:5/15/2005 Note:Last 4 games of the Kings series, the Sonics averaged 111 points. In the last game between these two teams we saw 183 points. That is not 186 but let's look at that game a little closer. The Sonics failed to score in the final 2 minutes of play. In addition to that, the Spurs managed just 15 of 34 free throw shots for the game. We do not expect that incredible stat to continue into today's play. There is also not a liklihood that the Sonics D will hold San Antonio to no field goals in the final 4.5 minutes as they did last game. The fact is, last game at Seattle should have eclipsed the posted total easily except for these quite unusual occurences. The 2 day rest for the Sonics is also key in this game. We expect Lewis, Allen, and Evans, to be in better injury form for today's matchup. The Sonics must control the tempo and they will at home. Additional Note: Surely the Sonics woeful performance beyond the arc will get better in this series. It now stands at 8 for 41 or just 16.3%...Winner
MLB:New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays -Bluejays (Mussina/Chacin) +124 Game Date:4/21/2005 Note:Toronto Bluejay pitcher Gustavo Chacin is no fluke. Chacin (3-0, 1.42 ERA) is 24-year-old Venezuelan lefty who has recorded one of the best Aprils in Blue Jays history, winning his first three starts. He has allowed just three earned runs in 19.0 innings and is coming off a gem in his last outing on Saturday when he shut out the powerful Rangers lineup over 8.0 innings, allowing only two hits in an 8-0 road win. He had a very impressive 18-2 record with a 2.88 ERA in the Minors before being called up late last year where he went 1-1 with a 2.88 era with the Big Club. Mike Mussina's control has been somewhat erratic this season, as he has allowed 23 hits and walked eight in 16.2 innings pitched. Sometimes big salaries are just not enough. Yanks fall tonight....(Loss)
NBA:Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors -Warriors +5.5 - Game Date:4/8/2005 Note:The Suns are a very tough Go Against team but let's face it folks. The Warriors are hotter than habanero's dipped in tobasco. Golden State is currently riding a 7 game win streak, their longest in 11 years, and we would feel pretty silly not grabbing 5.5 points at home. The addition of Baron Davis has made them much more competitive and you just can't look at their overall record at home, not a good one, in handicapping this game. Davis picked up another 22 points and 11 assists last game and he is making this team go, go, go. On March 18 Davis nailed seven 3-pointers and scored 33 points to lead Golden State to to a 110-100 victory over the Suns. Suns are 9-1 since that loss but we got to feel it will not be an easy task to cover this 5.5 spread on the road.....Winner
MLB:LA Dodgers at San Fran Giants - Over 7.5 Runs Game Date:4/5/2005 Note:Games in which Schmidt pitch are going to be low totals. However, he is only going to be going 5 to 6 innings today with a pitch count if effect. Both Bullpens are hurting. The Dodgers due to injuries and the Giants due to lack of talent. It will be a high sky in San Fran today and that usaully means a few mishaps. Day games in Frisco tend to be higher scoring and that is something to remember throughout the season. Lets jump on this low number for what we feel will be an easy win.....(Loss)
NBA:Los Angeles Clippers at Detroit Pistons - Under 180.5 Game Date: 4/1/2005 Note:NBA Championships are won with defense and as we get closer and closer to the playoffs we are going to start seeing more and more of the better teams working hard on their defensive outputs. One of those teams will be the Pistons. Last game out, the Pistons held the high flying Kings to just 82!! Pistons have been playing a number of high scoring teams but tonight the injury laden Clippers visit Motown and I am sure we will see mo-defense fmom Detroit. The last 3 games for the Clips have been less than memorable with 78, 84, and 85 scored in those contests. With Maggette playing poorly (Hitting 29% from the field last 3 games) and 18 point guy Simmons out, we don't see LA doing much better tonight. Pistons are a mediocre offensive team at best averaging 92 per game and even less the last 5 contests. We will be lucky to see 170 in this contest. (Loss)
NBA:Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics -Mavericks -1 -110 | Game Date:3/30/2005 Note:The Mavs are hot and their are a lot of reasons why. One stands out beyond the others. New coach Avery Johnson is stressing DEFENSE and the Mavs are responding. Nowitzki was actually pulled out of a game Sunday due to poor defensive play. Johnson means business about playing D and the scores the last 6 games indicate that. Opponents are being taken deaper into the shot clock and attempting rush shots at best. Johnson, told his team when he assumed his position that they were going to play the entire 24 and not 14 to 16 seconds. Tonight the Celtics will assume the position!! Boston has one of the worst D's in the league. We see the Mavs, with their new philosophy, scoring a lot, and the Celtics scoring less than their average. Winner
NBA:Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic -Magic -12 -110 Game Date:2/10/2005 Note:Here we go laying a lot of points in hoops as we did last night with LSU. We think we got another good one here though. The Magic were beat 1/31 by the Hawks in Atlanta and that is fresh in their minds. Hawks are not worldbeaters on the road losing their last 7 by margins of 22, 15, 11, 17, 11, 12 and 16. But wait!! It gets worse!! Tonight they will be without Harrington at 17.1 points per game, Drabnjack at 9.4 ppg, Smith at 7.8 ppg, and Lue is questionable at 10.8 ppg. Orlando lost last time out at home to the Warriors and we feel a bounceback is in the offing with an ole fashion barn thrashing of the Hawks.........(Loss)
NCAAB: Auburn Tigers at Louisiana St Tigers - LSU -10 -110 Game Date: 2/9/2005 Note:Auburn coming off a huge home victory of Mississippi State and LSU off a 22 point loss at Tennessee in a game that we won. Tigers of Auburn do not match up at all with Tigers of LSU. LSU is 8-2 ATS at home and should be breathing fire tonight with Auburn's earlier beating of them back in Alabama. Last 3 road SEC games by Auburn resulted in losses of 15, 36, and 37 to Ole Miss, Arkansas, and Mississippi State. The 2 Miss State games should give you some idea of the Home/Road disparity of the War Eagles. Lose by 37 on road and win at home by 24. Look for a repeat tonight. Tigers roll over Tigers!!! Winner
NBA: Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets - Under 195.5 -110 Game Date: 2/8/2005 Note:This line opened at 193 and quickly moved to 195.5 much to our pleasure. The Jazz have little time to recover from a 102-99 overtime loss to the New York Knicks on Monday, a game in which Utah expended plenty of energy to erase a 13-point deficit in the final seven-plus minutes of regulation. They must now travel to Denver and play in the mile high city. We came very close to playing the Nuggets in this spot but we decided that we liked the total much more. The Karl driven Nuggets are playing some defense as of late and especially at home where they allowed 91, 76, 82, 93, and 83 in their last five contests. We are not trend followers but here is one to look at because there is a reason behind the trend. Under is 13-5 in 18 games at Denver and if you will look at the second halfs of games played at Denver you will understand why. Teams just get damn tired in the high altitude and wear down. Second half totals in these five games resulted in an average of 85.6 second half points. 195.5 is a bargain and we will take it....Winner
NCAAB: Toledo Rockets at Central Michigan Chippewas - Central Michigan +10.5 (Heavy Hitter) -110 Game Date: 2/6/2005 Note:Toledo was the preseason pick to win the Mac conference. However, a 9-10 record. Toledo has no business laying 10.5 points on the road and this is reputation only for the oddsmakers. Statistically, these two teams are almost dead even! This is going to be a wire to wire close game and we like the home boys a lot. Toledo is 1-8 last 9 they have given 10 points or more. They just do not perform well against the bottom dwellers. Grab the points for what we believe to be an easy win....Winner
NBA:Memphis at New Orleans Hornets -Hornets +6.5 -110 Game Date:1/31/2005 Note:There are a number of things working for us in this contest tonight at New Orleans Arena. We have two teams that are playing well as of late with the Grizzlies winning their 11th game in January on Saturday in a 1 point victory over the Hawks. The 11 wins is a Franchise Record for them. However, injuries are setting in and Memphis will have to do without the services of Pau Gasol and James Posey, both placed on the Injury list this week. In addition Bonzi Wells is questionable for tonight game. On the other side of the court, the Hornets have quietly won the last 5 of 6 at home. The Grizzlies have yet to beat the Hornets since the move to the big easy. Interestingly, despite their horrible record, the Hornets are one of the best covering teams in the NBA at 26-17 ATS. I am not sure we will need the points tonight but we will happily take the 6.5....... (Loss)
NBA:Sac Kings at Minn Timberwolves - Over 196.5 -110 Game Date:1/30/2005 Note:The Wolves have gone under the total last 10 of 11 games. There is no doubt that is one of the reasons this total is being held down to under 200 points. But lets look closer at the matchup. Wolves have played a lot of not so offensive oriented teams in recent play. They did have a shootout verses the Sonics on 1/21 and there were 219 points scored in that contest. Meanwhile, the Kings just keep throwing up the shots and have gone over the total at a 5-2 clip on the road. Kings average almost 102 points and give up 100 on the road. Wolves average 99 at home. 2 Meetings between these 2 this NBA year and we have seen 218 and 231 in those previous matchups. Let's go OVER for an easy win.....(Loss)
NCAAB:Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers at Wisconsin GreenBay Phoenix - Wisconsin GB +5.5 -110 Game Date:1/29/2005 Note:This is a huge game for Wisconsin Green Bay. The Phoenix were drubbed badly by the Panthers ealier this year 86-56 and revenge is going to be sweet tonight. We like this game for a ton of reasons. Wisc GB is coming off a big win at Detroit, a game that we had, and is in a situation that calls for a win. All chances of winning the conference ends tonight with a loss and we do not believe they will let it happen. The Panthers are a very worthy opponent and we should see a wire to wire close game tonight. Wisc GB is 9-1 at home and have played some pretty tough games on the road at Michigan State and Wisconsin. They get the job done tonight and keep their conference title hopes alive.... Winner
NBA: LA Clippers at Portland Blazers - Blazers -3 -110 Game Date: 1/28/2005 Note:The Clippers have won 2 consecutive games, (WOW!) but we think the party is over tonight when they visit the Rose Garden in Portland Oregon. Elton Brand is playing like a man possessed and grabbed his eighth double double Wednesday vs the Lakers in a game we had. Thank you Elton. Here are the facts folks. The Clippers are 0-11 last 11 visits to Blazerland, including a 13 point loss in early November. Actually the are 1-19 last 20 at Portland. The Blazers certainly are not tearing the league up right now and are only 2-11 last 13, but we think they get well tonight in the friendly setting, against a team that they feel comfortable beating........Winner
NCAAB:Notre Dame at Villanova -Notre Dame +7 -110 Game Date:1/26/2005 Note:Huge win for Villanova this past weekend over Kansas has affected this game in a couple of ways. The line is way too high as oddsmakers figure public money will fly on the Wildcats. And Villanova should experience a letdown following the win. I can say this for sure. Mike Brey's Fighting Irish is not the team you want to letdown for. Notre Dame has won the last 2 between these two straightup including a 78-72 victory January 8th at the Joyce Center. The Irish and Lucky 7. What more could you want....Winner
NBA: New Jersey Nets at Phoenix Suns - Over 202 -110 Game Date: 1/23/2005 Note:One can just not imagine the difference one man can make for a team but Steve Nash is that man for the Suns. During his injury, the Suns averaged just 86.3 points per game. Nash comes back and Phoenix score 123. Nash has a league leading 10.9 assists per contest and he makes the Suns go. The Nets have been helped greatly by the additon of Vince Carter and should be able to put up a few points of their own today. We expect 202 to fall easily.....Winner
NCAAB: Texas Tech Red Raiders at Iowa Hawkeyes - Iowa -2.5 (Heavy Hitter) -110 Game Date: 12/21/2004 Note:Iowa Head coach Steve Alford is 0-3 against Knight. Alford played for Bobby in his college days. It is payback time tonight for the Hawkeyes and Alford has the team to do it. Iowa is riding a 6 game winning streak and facing a Red Raider team that is 1-1 away from home and unimpressive. Texas Tech scores a lot of points at home but just mediocre on the road. The 154 line is overinflated because of their home play. Iowa knows they have a slow it down tonight and they will with strong pressure at the ball. Iowa's D has produced 12 blocked shots in each of 2 games this year and last game with Iowa State allowed ZERO 3 Pointers!! Iowa wins, covers and controls this game start to finish....Winner
NCAAB: Ohio State at Texas NCAAF:Bowling Green Falcons at Toledo Rockets -Toledo +4 Game Date:11/23/2004 Note:Let's make one thing perfectly clear. We do not follow trends. We do not use trends when deciding who to play and who not to play. Now, with that in mind let's look at some trends for this matchup. The Rockets are 29-1 last 30 at home. 20-6 ATS last 26 at home. The home team in this series has won and covered the last 5 games. Toledo is a perfect 14-0 in their last home finales. These trends actually mean something. We also know that the Rockets cover at an alarming rate 87% when the temperature dips below 43 degrees before kickoff. That one does not mean anything! The Rockets pose some serious matchup problems for Bowling Green on both sides of the ball and with the MAC Championship up for grabs we are grabbing the Rockets...Winner
NBA: Phoenix Suns at New Orleans Hornets - Hornets +5.5 Game Date: 11/17/2004 Note:Phoenix will have their hands full tonight against desperate Hornets team looking for their first win of season. N.O. will be without Barron Davis but Armstrong fills in nicely and adds some veteran leadership and toughness. Hornets have lost some close games against quality competition are not as bad as record reflects. Suns coming off big win over Dallas last night might be in a letdown scenerio. All five starters except Johnson (39 min.)logged 40 plus minutes vs. ! Mav's. Suns bench is very thin and key sub Barbarosa may miss this game with ankle injury. Hornets have had 3 days to rest, regroup and prepare for this game. (Loss)
NCAAF: Army Black Knights at Tulane Green Wave - Tulane -6 Game Date: 11/13/2004 Note:This one is way too easy and obvious. The Green Wave destroyed Navy last week and their offense is beginning to click. Army will move the ball Saturday but we feel there is not a chance in hell they will be able to keep up with Tulane. The Black Knights allow and average of 35 ppg, 504 ypg, and 6.25 yards per play (Or better known as ypp) Looks like the PP's are wild! More importantly, Army is 110th in pass defense! Tulane QB Ricard has combined for 54-68 completions, 740 yards and 10 TD's last two games! Holy Blowout Batman!!! Winner
NCAAF: Oklahoma at Texas A&M - Texas A&M +12.5 Game Date: 11/6/2004 Note:Gee, just how much money have we made betting against the Sooners this year. The Vegas Expert Oddsmakers we can thank for that and we will be thanking them again following this game. We are 4-0 this year playing agaist them with covers on Oregon, Texas Tech, Kansas State and Oklahoma State. Let's make that 5-0. The Sooners walloped the Aggies 77-0 last year. It's payback time and Texas A&M has the tools to do it......Winner
Free Winner for Monday October 25 NFL:Denver at Cincinnati - Bengals +7.5 Note:Everything in this contest points to a Bronco Blowout right? Kind of like the Rams and Eagles yesterday? Points at home in the NFL are premium folks. How about them Cardinals yesterday? Denver #2 rushing attack will be facing the worst run D in league. Struggling Cincy QB Palmer will be facing the #1 rated D in league. Will the Bronco blitz force Palmer into costly mistakes? Can Champ Bailey shut down Johnson? How much will the Bungels miss Peter Warrick for another week? Things don’t look too good for Cincinnati. Well maybe and maybe not. MOTIVATION! Tonight the Bengals will end the longest drought in the History of Monday Nite Football This will be the first Home Monday Nite game for the Bengals since 1989!! Cincinnati does not want to be embarassed on National TV and they will not be. We expect 2 things tonight. A strong performance by the Bengals, and a letdown by the Broncos. Let's take the points in this one.....Winner
Free Winner for Saturday October 23 NCAAF:Iowa at Penn State -Penn State -2.5 Note:The Iowa Hawkeyes travel to Beaver Stadium this week to face the Nittany Lions of Penn State. The key word here is Travel. Our Heavy Hitter Win earlier this year on Arizona State over Iowa was based on the same premise. The #25 Hawkeyes do not travel well at all. In addition Iowa has been hurt badly at the running back slots with 3 season ending injuries. Sophomere walk-on Sam Brownlee will start against Penn State and freshman Damian Sims will back him up after playing in his first game last week. The two combined for just 77 yards on 19 carries against Ohio State. Meanwhile, Penn State has had an extra week to prepare and should be ready to face the challange. The Lions, 2-4 on the year, has been mistaken prone this year and that certainly cost them a win verses Purdue a couple of weeks ago. There is no doubt that Penn State is one of the best 2-4 teams in the country. With the extra week, and Iowa's obvious dislike of the road, we see a Penn State win and cover..........(Loss)
Free Winner for Wednesday October 20 NCAAF:Syracuse at West Virginia -Syracuse +15.5 Note:We do not just absolutely love this game but we do like it enough to play for 1 Unit. West Virginia has had the Orangemen's number the last 2 years but we feel that this year will be a different story. Simply looking at the Syracuse record of 3-3 would indicate that they cannot compete with the Mountaineers on their home turf. But, let's look closer. The Orangemen have lost to Virginia, Florida State, and Purdue. Their strength of schedule is far superior to West Virginia and that should put them in a better light in tonight's contest. Tonight's game will be the last for Syracuse to face a Ranked team this year and they will react favorably in front of a national ESPN audience. There is another very key element tonight. Paul Pasqualoni's job is in jeopardy with a loss tonight.We expect a strong showing by the players who really respect and like one of the most liked coaches in the business. In addition, with a win tonight Syracuse actually has a shot at finishing the year strong and going bowling. We think they give it a good go and possibly pull the upset...... (Loss)
Free Winner for Sunday October 17 NFL: Cincinnati at Cleveland - Browns -2.5 Note:One might say we have a matchup between 2 bad teams right? Well, maybe, but the fact is the Bengals are going to have to show us they can beat anyone on the road. The Browns have gotten considerable criticism this week in the press, and in particular, QB Garcia. We think they will react very well to the press. The fact is, despite struggling, the Browns could easily be 3-2 and even 4-1 with a little luck. We see them for what they are, not what their record might indicate. It's a bust out this week against arch rival Cincinnati. Bengals should come out and give their best effort and score some points but in the end their defense will let them down. Cincy can’t stop the run and this should set up play-action for Jeff Garcia. We expect a huge game out of Garcia on Sunday after receiving a bunch of flack in press this week. Browns HC Butch Davis’ job may be on the line today vs. Cincinnati. Browns respond with win and a cover.Winner
Free Winner for Saturday October 16 Oklahoma at Kansas State Kansas State +20 Note: Folks....We know that Oklahoma is the best team in the land. We know they must be favored in this game. But come on!!! 20 points?? No way. Vegas would love for us to believe that!! The Wildcats are getting better by the week despite a losing record of 2-3. They are back at home after a tough 0-2 road swing and happy to be there. Both of these teams are evenly matched offensively and defensively, both averaging about 400 yards the last 3 games. Powerhouse Oklahoma has just 12, 28, and 31 points the last 3 outings and all 3 of those games were in the friendly confines of Sooner Land. Sooners take to the road for the first time this week and they should come away with a win. But....it will not be easy......Winner
Free Winner for Thursday October 14 Louisville at Miami - Louisville +8.5 -110 Note: Tonight is the single biggest game in the history of Louisville football. The Cardinals actually had a huge win a couple of years ago when they knocked off #4 ranked Florida State on National TV but this one is bigger for a number of reasons. They really want to show that their #18 ranking is no fluke, and we think they will. The Cardinals have outscored their opposition by an average of 43-7 per game. However, those teams they beat are a lowly 5-16 combined this year and we realize this game is going to be much tougher. The Hurricanes are 30-1 last 31 at home and they have much more speed offensively than any team Louisville has faced yet. Here is the catch. The Cardinals have some speed on their own especially on the defensive side of the line. Offensively Louisville can play with anyone with a nice balanced attack. An amazing 18 TD's on the ground this year led by stallworth Eric Shelton. We see Louisville right there when the final whistle blows....Winner
Free Winner for Tuesday October 12 MLB: Red Sox at Yankees - Yankees +1.5 (2 Units) -125 Note:Sox have won the last 21 of 25 starts by Schilling. Yanks have won the last 5 of 6 by Mussina. We think there is very good value taking the +1.5 Runs here and we feel very strongly that this first game will be won in the late innings. With both bullpens sound it would not surprise us as all that someone wins this game by 1 run....Winner
Free Winner for Saturday October 9 NCAAF: SMU Mustangs at Rice Owls - Rice -13 -110 Note: We are buying down 1/2 point. One of Hatfields best teams ever! The Rice Owls are back at home and should roll, roll, roll. Yes we know that the QB is banged up. Yes we know that they should have crushed San Jose State. Rice will run, run, run.....and win, win, win....SMU allows 36 points per game and 446 yards per game. That average will rise again after this one... Winner
